Tensions surrounding the potential control of Taiwan by China have escalated, with a recent report warning that Beijing could achieve its objectives without resorting to military force. The report, cited by CNN and attributed to a Washington think tank, highlights China’s ability to isolate Taiwan economically and compel submission through non-military means.
The concerns stem from Chinese President Xi Jinping’s aggressive stance towards Taiwan, coupled with China’s recent refusal to condemn Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Analysts and military strategists have outlined two primary options for China: a full-scale invasion or a military blockade. However, a third option, termed as a “quarantine” using “gray zone” tactics, has also been emphasized.
The Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) in Washington has detailed this third option, which involves actions just below the threshold of war. Through the use of its maritime forces, including the China Coast Guard and maritime militia, China could enforce a full or partial quarantine of Taiwan. This strategy could cut off essential supplies and access to ports, significantly impacting Taiwan’s economy and population.
The report’s authors from CSIS underscore that while the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) may play auxiliary and support roles, the primary focus would be on non-military coercion tactics. This approach aligns with China’s recent increase in gray zone tactics, including heightened military activities near Taiwan’s territory.
China’s Minister of National Defence, Admiral Dong Jun, recently warned against external forces emboldening Taiwan Independence separatists, accusing them of dragging Taiwan into a dangerous situation. He reiterated China’s stance on sovereignty over Taiwan and warned against any attempts to separate the island from China.
The escalating tensions and increased use of gray zone tactics by China underscore the volatile nature of the Taiwan issue in Chinese foreign policy. Taiwan, officially known as the Republic of China, remains a contentious subject as China continues to assert its sovereignty and advocate for reunification, even if it means resorting to coercive measures short of direct military action.
Sources By Agencies
